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Current Win Probability
Japan 25%
Draw 29.4%
Croatia 45.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.6%
28.9%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25.8%
18.8%
55.4%
Japan - Croatia Predictions
Users Predictions:
271 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 70 - 25.8%). Croatia will win (votes: 150 - 55.4%). It will Tie (votes: 51 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Croatia: 49.5% โ 61.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Japan was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, has a chance of quarter-finals (45%), has a small chance of semi-finals (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win world cup (2%).
Croatia has not chance of 1st place, was already of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of quarter-finals (55%), has a chance of semi-finals (16%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win world cup (3%).