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Current Win Probability
Japan 11.9%
Draw 20.7%
Spain 67.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.8%
20.5%
66.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
13%
67%
Japan - Spain Predictions
Users Predictions:
215 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 43 - 20%). Spain will win (votes: 144 - 67%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 60.7% – 73.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Japan has a small chance of 1st place (14%), has a small chance of 2nd place (6%), has a chance of round of 16 (20%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (10%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
Spain has a good chance of 1st place (85%), has a small chance of 2nd place (14%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (99%), has a good chance of quarter-finals (72%), has a chance of semi-finals (35%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win world cup (13%).
In this match Spain is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Japan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.