Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	20:30	Solh TV
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	18:00	TV Klan
Andorra	18:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	17:00	TPA 2, TPA
Armenia	20:00	1TV
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Austria	18:00	ORF 1, ORF TVthek
Azerbaijan	20:00	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	22:00	T Sports
Belarus	19:00	RTR Belarus
Belgium	18:00	RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	BHT 1, Moja TV
Brazil	13:00	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Cambodia	23:00	CNC, CTN, MyTV
Cameroon	17:00	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	12:00	TSN 1, TSN 4, TVA+, TVA Sports
China	00:00	CCTV-5, iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Comoros	19:00	ORTC
Cote D Ivoire	16:00	RTI 1, RTI 3
Croatia	18:00	HRT 2, HRTi
Cuba	12:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	19:00	RIK 2
Czech Republic	18:00	CT sport
Denmark	18:00	DR 1, DR TV
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Finland	19:00	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
Gambia	16:00	GRTS Gambia
Georgia	20:00	1TV
Germany	18:00	ARD, Magenta Sport
Greece	19:00	ERT 1
Guinea	16:00	RTG
Hong Kong	00:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 1
Hungary	18:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	16:00	RUV
India	21:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sportstars 3, Sportstars 4, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	RCTI, RCTI+
Iran	19:30	Aio Sport, Persiana Sports
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa
Ireland	17:00	RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
Israel	19:00	Sport 1, Sport 3
Italy	18:00	NOW TV, RAI 2, RaiPlay, SI Solo Calcio, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	01:00	AbemaTV, Wowow
Kazakhstan	22:00	Qazsport
Kenya	19:00	K24
Kosovo	18:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	22:00	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	19:00	TV3, TV3 Play, TV6
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Go, Sooka, SPOTV
Mali	16:00	ORTM
Malta	18:00	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	20:00	MBC 11
Mexico	10:00	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Izzi TV, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Mongolia	00:00	Central Television
Montenegro	18:00	Arena Premium 1, TVCG 2
Mozambique	18:00	TVM 1
Myanmar	22:30	Skynet
Netherlands	18:00	NOS Live, NPO 1, Sporza
New Zealand	04:00	TVNZ+
Nigeria	17:00	Sporty TV, SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	RUSH TV Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:00	Arena Premium 1, MRT 1
Northern Ireland	17:00	UTV
Norway	18:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV1
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Romania	19:00	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Rwanda	18:00	Magic Sports TV
Senegal	16:00	RTS 1
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	00:00	Singtel TV GO, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:00	Dajto, Voyo
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Premium 1, Slovenia TV2, SportKlub 1
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Maximo 360
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:00	Tving, tvN, tvN Sports
Spain	18:00	FuboTV, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	18:00	RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, TF 1
Taiwan	00:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tanzania	19:00	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, PPTV Sports, True Premier Football 3
Togo	16:00	New World Sport App
Tonga	05:00	DTV App
Turkey	19:00	TRT
Uganda	19:00	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	ITV 1, ITV X, Sport 24 International, STV, STV Player
Usa	12:00	Flow Sports 1, FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Fox, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC, Sling
Uzbekistan	21:00	Zor TV
Vietnam	23:00	HTV Thể Thao, K+, SCTV Online, TV 360, VTV 2, VTV Can Tho, VTV Go
International	16:00	Disney+, JioTV app, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Spain		Germany

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.72	3.15	2.82
	2.8	3.16	2.83
	2.85	3.21	2.88	Watch
	2.75	3	2.8
	2.82	3.2	2.88
	2.75	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.63)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.81 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Spain
34.9%

Draw
30.8%

Germany
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	25.8%	22.5%

Spain - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 146 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 75 - 51.4%). Germany will win (votes: 34 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 37 - 25.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 43.3% – 59.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Simon U. (G) Ath Bilbao 2. Carvajal D. Real Madrid 3. Le Normand R. Real Sociedad 14. Laporte A. Al Nassr 24. Cucurella M. Chelsea 16. Rodri Manchester City 8. Ruiz F. PSG 19. Yamal L. Barcelona 20. Pedri Barcelona 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao 7. Morata A. (C) Atl. Madrid	1. Neuer M. (G) Bayern Munich 6. Kimmich J. Bayern Munich 2. Rudiger A. Real Madrid 4. Tah J. Bayer Leverkusen 3. Raum D. RB Leipzig 25. Can E. Dortmund 8. Kroos T. 10. Musiala J. Bayern Munich 21. Gundogan I. (C) Barcelona 19. Sane L. Bayern Munich 7. Havertz K. Arsenal
Substitutes
15. Baena A. Villarreal 4. Fernandez N. Al Qadisiya 12. Grimaldo A. Bayer Leverkusen 9. Joselu Al-Gharafa 25. Lopez F. Barcelona 6. Merino M. Real Sociedad 22. Navas J. Sevilla 10. Olmo D. RB Leipzig 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad 26. Perez A. Betis 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 13. Remiro A. (G) Real Sociedad 11. Torres F. Barcelona 5. Vivian D. Ath Bilbao 18. Zubimendi M. Real Sociedad	23. Andrich R. Bayer Leverkusen 16. Anton W. VfB Stuttgart 12. Baumann O. (G) Hoffenheim 14. Beier M. Hoffenheim 11. Fuhrich C. VfB Stuttgart 9. Fullkrug N. Dortmund 5. Gross P. Brighton 20. Henrichs B. RB Leipzig 24. Koch R. Eintracht Frankfurt 18. Mittelstadt M. VfB Stuttgart 13. Muller T. Bayern Munich 15. Schlotterbeck N. Dortmund 22. ter Stegen M. (G) Barcelona 26. Undav D. VfB Stuttgart 17. Wirtz F. Bayer Leverkusen
Coaches
de la Fuente L.	Nagelsmann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Pedri ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
13', Rudiger A. 🟨,
28', Raum D. 🟨,
29', Le Normand R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Le Normand R. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
46', Can E. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
46', Sane L. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Olmo D. ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
56', Andrich R. 🟨,
57', Raum D. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
57', Gundogan I. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
63', Yamal L. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
67', Kroos T. 🟨,
73', Mittelstadt M. 🟨,
74', Torres F. 🟨,
80', Williams N. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
80', Morata A. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
80', Tah J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
82', Simon U. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Wirtz F. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
89', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Havertz K. ↓, Anton W. ↑,
94', Wirtz F. 🟨,
100', Carvajal D. 🟨,
102', Ruiz F. ↓, Joselu ↑,
110', Rodri 🟨,
113', Undav D. 🟨,
119', 2 - 1, Merino M. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
120', Morata A. 🟨,
120', Ruiz F. 🟨,
120+6', Carvajal D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spain won 1.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Spain won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 75-43.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain
UEFA Euro
30.06.24	Spain - Georgia	4:1 ✺
24.06.24	Albania - Spain	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	Spain - Italy	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Spain - Croatia	3:0 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Spain - Northern Ireland	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Germany
UEFA Euro
29.06.24	Germany - Denmark	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Switzerland - Germany	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	Germany - Hungary	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Germany - Scotland	5:1 ✺
Friendly
07.06.24	Germany - Greece	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
27.11.22	Spain - Germany	1:1
UEFA Nations League
17.11.20	Spain - Germany	6:0
03.09.20	Germany - Spain	1:1
Friendly
23.03.18	Germany - Spain	1:1
18.11.14	Spain - Germany	0:1
EuroBasket Women
20.06.12	Spain - Germany	66:39

Spain - Germany