Match Info

Asian Games - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)


	Japan U23		Hong Kong U23

	1	X	2
	1.01	29.00	51.00
	1.00	36.00	51.00
	1.01	25.00	51.00
	1.01	13.50	16.50
	1	24.56	75.8
	1.03	17.00	100.00
	1.01	12.00	25.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	22.44 ↓ (26)	52.9 ↓ (70)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U23
94%

Draw
4.2%

Hong Kong U23
1.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

94.9%

3.7%

1.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hong Kong U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Japan U23 - Hong Kong U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pisano A. (G) Nagoya Grampus 10. Ishii H. Shonan Bellmare 21. Kihiro S. 9. Michiwaki Y. Iwaki 15. Mori S. Okayama 6. Nagano S. FC Tokyo 22. Okabe H. Toyo University 20. Senagi I. 13. Shosuke F. 8. Yasuda K. V-Varen Nagasaki 14. Yuto O.	19. Poon Sheung-Hei (G) Hong Kong FC 5. Helio Eastern District 10. Ichikawa S. Lee Man Warriors 2. Korani K. Eastern District 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Qingdao Hainiu 17. Ng Yu-Hei Chongqing Tonglianglong 3. Sung K. Eastern District 13. Tsang L. Vermont Catamounts 4. Tsang Y. E. Lee Man Warriors 9. Udebuluzor M. Lee Man Warriors 6. Wu C. R. Lee Man Warriors
Substitutes
23. Araki R. (G) Gamba Osaka 16. Fukunaga Y. Kyoto Sangyo 5. Ichihara R. AZ Alkmaar 7. Ishiwatari N. St. Truiden 4. Kaiya T. 12. Kobayashi M. (G) Matsumoto Yamaga 3. Kosugi K. Eintracht Frankfurt 17. Nakajima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 19. Nwadik B. Aalborg 18. Shimamoto Y. Shimizu S-Pulse 2. Umeki R. Imabari 11. Yumeh Y.	18. Chan K. (G) North District 16. Chen Ngo-Hin Kowloon City 1. Cheung Kwai-Wa (G) Kowloon City 22. Chin Y. 12. Kwok Chun-Nok Kowloon City 21. Lee C. Eastern AA 23. Lee Lok-Him Eastern AA 14. Loong T. Eastern AA 7. Ma H. W. Shaanxi Union 11. Pinto A. 20. Slattery M. Kowloon City 15. Yim Kai-Cheuk Kowloon City

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Ishii H. ⚽, Ozeki Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Michiwaki Y. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
62', Furuya S. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
62', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Ma H. W. ↑,
68', Korani K. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
75', Ozeki Y. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
75', Sato M. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
79', Ichikawa S. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
79', Ng Yu-Hei ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
85', Ishibashi S. ↓, Fukunaga Y. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Nagano S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Japan U23 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Japan U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
24.01.26	China U23 - Japan U23	0:4 ✺
20.01.26	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Japan U23 - Jordan U23	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Japan U23 - Qatar U23	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	United Arab Emirates U23 - Japan U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Hong Kong U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
06.09.25	Hong Kong U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Iran U23 - Hong Kong U23	4:0 ✺
Asian Games Football
07.10.23	Uzbekistan U23 - Hong Kong U23	4:0 ✺
04.10.23	Hong Kong U23 - Japan U23	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Iran U23 - Hong Kong U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 82 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Football
04.10.23	Hong Kong U23 - Japan U23	0:4

Japan U23 - Hong Kong U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide