Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Jaraguá		Nova Mutum

	1	X	2
	7.75	3.9	1.39
	8	4	1.37
	7.8	4.1	1.32
	8.06	4.01	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.33
	9.2	3.86	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.05 ↑ (6.52)	4.06 ↑ (3.48)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
11.2%

Draw
22.3%

Nova Mutum
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.6%

25.5%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.7%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Mutum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaraguá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Mutum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Jaraguá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nova Mutum is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nova Mutum is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jaraguá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Jaraguá
Brazilian Serie D
21.08.21	Porto Velho - Jaraguá	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Jaraguá - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Goianésia - Jaraguá	0:1 ✺
31.07.21	Jaraguá - União Rondonópolis	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Brasiliense - Jaraguá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 LTWLL
- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Serie D
22.08.21	Nova Mutum - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
15.08.21	Nova Mutum - Gama	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	União Rondonópolis - Nova Mutum	0:1 ✺
01.08.21	Nova Mutum - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	Porto Velho - Nova Mutum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.06.21	Nova Mutum - Jaraguá	2:0

Jaraguá - Nova Mutum

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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