Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Jarota Jarocin		Bałtyk Koszalin

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.71	3.65	4
	1.76	3.83	4.22
	1.63	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.13)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	4.08 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarota Jarocin
53.6%

Draw
24.1%

Bałtyk Koszalin
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

16.8%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarota Jarocin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jarota Jarocin's performance.

Bałtyk Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bałtyk Koszalin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarota Jarocin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (+24.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bałtyk Koszalin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Koszalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bałtyk Koszalin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jarota will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarota won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Jarota won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.09.21	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Jarota Jarocin - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Jarota Jarocin	0:0 ✺
08.09.21	Jarota Jarocin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Przodkowo - Jarota Jarocin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTTW
- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.09.21	Bałtyk Koszalin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Bałtyk Gdynia - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
12.09.21	Bałtyk Koszalin - Kluczevia Stargard	4:1 ✺
08.09.21	Swit Skolwin - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Bałtyk Koszalin - Stolem Gniewino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.05.21	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:0
17.10.20	Bałtyk Koszalin - Jarota Jarocin	1:0
15.09.19	Bałtyk Koszalin - Jarota Jarocin	1:0
25.05.19	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1
27.10.18	Bałtyk Koszalin - Jarota Jarocin	6:2

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