Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday


	Jarota Jarocin		Sokół Kleczew

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.3	3.7	2.5
	2.47	3.5	2.38
	2.34	3.65	2.48
	2.38	3.62	2.69	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarota Jarocin
37.2%

Draw
25.5%

Sokół Kleczew
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

23.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarota Jarocin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sokół Kleczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Jarota Jarocin - Sokół Kleczew Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jarota will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kleczew will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kleczew: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarota won 1.

Jarota is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kleczew is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jarota won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Jarota won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.10.22	Unia Solec Kujawski - Jarota Jarocin	2:2 ✺
23.09.22	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	2:3 ✺
16.09.22	Stolem Gniewino - Jarota Jarocin	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Jarota Jarocin - Gedania Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Jarota Jarocin	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWL
- Sokół Kleczew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.10.22	Sokół Kleczew - Vineta Wolin	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Sokół Kleczew - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Unia Solec Kujawski - Sokół Kleczew	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Sokół Kleczew - Swit Skolwin	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Stolem Gniewino - Sokół Kleczew	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.03.22	Jarota Jarocin - Sokół Kleczew	1:3
18.08.21	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	1:1
15.05.21	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	1:1
19.09.20	Jarota Jarocin - Sokół Kleczew	0:1
12.10.19	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	1:2
Club Friendly
26.07.19	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.03.19	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	2:2

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