Match Info

Prva NL - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić (Zaprešić)


	Jarun Zagreb		Bijelo Brdo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.05	2.98	2.22
	2.72	3.01	2.58	Watch
	3.15	2.88	2.29
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.72)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.31 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarun Zagreb
30.1%

Draw
30.6%

Bijelo Brdo
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bijelo Brdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bijelo Brdo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Jarun Zagreb - Bijelo Brdo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Krizanovic I. (G) 11. Al Ghoul H. 14. Buzic M. 2. Grdenic T. 19. Jug P. 10. Luetic K. 4. Mackovic M. 30. Mamic I. 8. Mlinar F. 20. Ocvirek N. 34. Reyvandi A.	1. Djilas I. (G) 9. Akanni S. 27. Benic A. 6. Cubel L. 10. Hrs F. 26. Korov P. 19. Mazar F. 2. Miletic L. 17. Romac L. 7. Stranput D. 30. Vrbanac K.
Substitutes
7. Cilic V. 5. Djire A. 18. Dunic M. 23. Gulam T. 25. Hodak D. 26. Ndiaye S. 6. Piplica Z. 1. Prslja L. (G)	18. Grubisic R. 29. Ikic I. 13. Jakovljevic Z. 12. Kovacevic F. (G) 22. Kovacic I. (G) 15. Medic V. 8. Mugosa D. 4. Pajic M. 14. Svraka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Akanni S. ↓, Ikic I. ↑,
61', Korov P. ↓, Mugosa D. ↑,
61', Hrs F. ↓, Svraka F. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Svraka F. ⚽,
83', Ikic I. ↓, Medic V. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Miletic L. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jarun won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jarun won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jarun won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
15.11.25	Rudeš - Jarun Zagreb	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvace	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Dugopolje - Jarun Zagreb	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLWT
- NK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Croatian Prva NL
15.11.25	Bijelo Brdo - Orijent	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cibalia - Bijelo Brdo	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Opatija - Bijelo Brdo	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Bijelo Brdo - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
29.10.25	Bijelo Brdo - Slaven Belupo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
13.09.25	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	2:0
26.04.25	Jarun Zagreb - Bijelo Brdo	0:5
15.02.25	Jarun Zagreb - Bijelo Brdo	0:1
22.09.24	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	0:2
23.03.24	Jarun Zagreb - Bijelo Brdo	1:3
23.02.24	Jarun Zagreb - Bijelo Brdo	2:2
30.09.23	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	0:0

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