The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Java United 59.8%
Draw 22.7%
Semen Padang 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
22.5%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
21.9%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Java United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Semen Padang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Java United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Java United - Semen Padang Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saputro A. (G) 6. Igor Inocencio 4. Gustavo (C) 2. Nilson Junior 23. Sayuri Y. 56. Syuhada R. 16. Angulo W. 12. Sayuri Y. 10. Tyronne 7. Ciro 17. da Silva D.
1. Augusto A. (G) 25. Afandi Z. 24. Meneses A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 3. Guntara L. (C) 31. Setiawan R. 30. Wakaso A. 86. Oropa A. 16. Matos P. 9. Stewart C. 10. Gomes B.
Substitutes
94. Alan (G) 41. Ardiansyah R. 21. Butuan F. 29. David S. 9. Drajad M. 32. Lauhin R. 96. Lestaluhu A. 69. Lestusen M. 22. Ridwan M. (G) 19. Rustam T. 88. Slamat A. 27. Tahar S.
8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 7. Chaby F. 77. Ferdiansyah 15. Juliansyah F. 19. Ridwan M. 20. Saputra H. 12. Simanjuntak S. 6. Umanailo A. 63. Wahyudi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Setiawan R. 🟨,
41', Setiawan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Syuhada R. ↓, Slamat A. ↑,
59', Nilson Junior ↓, Drajad M. ↑,
65', Gustavo 🟨,
65', Oropa A. ↓, Simanjuntak S. ↑,
70', Matos P. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
72', da Silva D. ↓, David S. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Tyronne (Pen),
81', Stewart C. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
88', Sayuri Y. 🟨,
90+2', Umanailo A. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Malut United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Semen Padang is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Malut United is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Malut United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Malut United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).