Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Semen Padang

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.65	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5.71
	1.64	3.61	5.31	Watch
	1.66	3.52	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	3.6 ↑ (3.47)	5.1 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
56.1%

Draw
25.7%

Semen Padang
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

26.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

25.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Semen Padang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persebaya Surabaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 4. Dimov D. 91. Tumbas D. 10. Bruno (C) 68. Firmansyah T. 88. Raickovic M. 77. Malik R. 11. Perovic M. 22. Freitas Gali	1. Augusto A. (G) 3. Guntara L. (C) 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 24. Meneses A. 12. Simanjuntak S. 9. Stewart C. 63. Wahyudi R. 30. Wakaso A. 16. Matos P. 15. Juliansyah F. 7. Chaby F.
Substitutes
81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 53. Irianto R. 66. Kardanu S. 18. May R. 27. Oscario R. (G) 55. Putra S. 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	89. Bachtiar A. (G) 77. Ferdiansyah 10. Gomes B. 11. Kwateh R. 88. Maulana I. 86. Oropa A. 19. Ridwan M. 31. Setiawan R. 41. Triyanto F. 64. Tuna A. 6. Umanailo A.
Coaches
Perez E.	Almeida E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 🟨,
61', Perovic M. ↓, Irianto R. ↑,
62', Chaby F. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
64', Simanjuntak S. 🟨,
69', Matos P. ↓, Maulana I. ↑,
73', Simanjuntak S. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
73', Juliansyah F. ↓, Kwateh R. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Bruno ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
79', Malik R. ↓, Rizky D. ↑,
79', Firmansyah T. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
85', Freitas Gali ↓, Putra S. ↑,
85', Catur A. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Persebaya have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Semen Padang's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Semen Padang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Persebaya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
12.09.25	Persib Bandung - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	5:2 ✺
16.08.25	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
11.09.25	Semen Padang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Semen Padang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Semen Padang - Dewa United	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Persib Bandung - Semen Padang	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.25	Negeri Sembilan - Semen Padang	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.05.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang	1:1
15.12.24	Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0
28.11.19	Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang	1:1
28.07.19	Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0

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