Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Semen Padang		Bali United Pusam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.61	2.14
	2.95	3.58	2.19	Watch
	3.08	3.38	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.59)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	2.13 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
29.8%

Draw
26.7%

Bali United Pusam
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Padang's form might have worsened.

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bali United Pusam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Padang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bali United Pusam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Semen Padang will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bali United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Semen Padang (votes: 2 - 50%). Bali United (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bali United (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bali United (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Semen Padang (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bali United (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 3. Guntara L. (C) 24. Meneses A. 12. Simanjuntak S. 30. Wakaso A. 63. Wahyudi R. 9. Stewart C. 88. Maulana I. 15. Juliansyah F. 10. Gomes B.	1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 16. Rizky Dwi 4. Arel K. 14. Receveur T. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 8. Bruijn J. 18. Kadek Agung 10. Mustafic M. 41. Jaya I. 9. Kopitovic B. 7. Goppel T.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 7. Chaby F. 77. Ferdiansyah 27. Hamdi Sula 86. Oropa A. 19. Ridwan M. 14. Saputra D. 64. Tuna A. 6. Umanailo A.	5. Adi B. 33. Andhika M. 47. Arjuna R. 92. Barusu R. 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 11. Roni Y. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 21. Wayan Arta (G)
Coaches
Almeida E.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Mustafic M. ↓, Barusu R. ↑,
6', Wakaso A. 🟨,
9', Rizky Dwi 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Kopitovic B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maulana I. ↓, Oropa A. ↑,
60', Juliansyah F. ↓, Ridwan M. ↑,
71', Bruijn J. ↓, Andhika M. ↑,
73', Simanjuntak S. ↓, Chaby F. ↑,
73', Wahyudi R. ↓, Ferdiansyah ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Barusu R. ⚽, Andhika M. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Stewart C. ⚽,
83', Hauptmeijer M. 🟨,
88', Jaya I. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
88', Rizky Dwi ↓, Rahmat ↑,
88', Kadek Agung ↓, Adi B. ↑,
90+1', Gomes B. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 3, Rahmat ⚽, Kopitovic B. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 0.

Semen Padang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bali United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bali United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
19.09.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Semen Padang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Semen Padang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Semen Padang - Dewa United	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Persib Bandung - Semen Padang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWL
- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
20.09.25	Bali United Pusam - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Persija Jakarta - Bali United Pusam	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	5:2 ✺
15.08.25	Java United - Bali United Pusam	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
20.01.25	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:5
18.08.24	Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang	2:0
02.12.19	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	0:2
09.08.19	Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang	4:1
Indonesian President Cup
11.03.19	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:2
Indonesian Super League
24.08.17	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:3
04.05.17	Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang	2:0

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