Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)


	Jazz Pori		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.85	3.75	3.25
	1.94	4.1	3.25
	2.91	4.03	2.04	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.79	3.59
	2.25	3.8	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	3.08 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jazz Pori
45.2%

Draw
24.6%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

23.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jazz Pori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jazz Pori's performance.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikkelin Palloilijat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jazz Pori than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikkelin Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jazz Pori - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jazz will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jazz: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jazz (votes: 3 - 60%). Mikkelin Palloilijat (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Koikkalainen R. (G) 15. Bradbury L. 7. Haruna B. 20. Ketonen V. 23. Kyllonen L. 5. Lakkamaki J. 9. Layon 10. Lehto J. 2. Lemio J. (C) 11. Rantanen J. 3. Vesala E.	22. Uronen J. (C) 30. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 6. El Alami R. 12. Kimari O. 15. Kuek A. 4. Laiho V. 10. Mami A. 8. Torniainen O. 25. Tsopgni N.
Substitutes
77. Aydin N. 13. Kiiskila E. 19. Lamminen F. 4. Luhtanen A. 14. Marttila J. 33. Nieminen E. 21. Puustinen N. 45. Riissanen J. 1. Takala A. (G)	27. Forsell N. 11. Hayhanen O. 5. Karttunen A. 21. Sundberg K. 2. Torniainen A. 1. Volotinen S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Torniainen O. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Bradbury L. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Coker M. (Pen),
41', Haruna B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 3, Coker M. ⚽,
63', Chishima A. ↓, Hayhanen O. ↑,
64', Rantanen J. ↓, Riissanen J. ↑,
77', Lehto J. ↓, Kiiskila E. ↑,
83', Kimari O. ↓, Sundberg K. ↑,
83', Torniainen O. ↓, Karttunen A. ↑,
84', Ketonen V. ↓, Puustinen N. ↑,
84', Bradbury L. ↓, Lamminen F. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Jazz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mikkelin Palloilijat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jazz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jazz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jazz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jazz Pori
Finnish Ykkonen
16.07.25	Jazz Pori - KuPS Akatemia	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Jazz Pori	0:1 ✺
01.07.25	Jazz Pori - Espoon Palloseura	7:0 ✺
26.06.25	Jazz Pori - Keski-Uusimaa	4:2 ✺
14.06.25	KPV Kokkola - Jazz Pori	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
12.07.25	RoPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Espoon Palloseura	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Inter Turku II	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	JJK Jyväskylä - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Tampere United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	0:0
10.10.15	Jazz Pori - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:2
09.08.15	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	3:2
14.06.15	Jazz Pori - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:5

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