Match Info

SERBIA: Super Liga - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dragan Dzajić (Ub)

Referee: Stefanovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Jedinstvo Ub		Mladost Lučani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.3
	2.95	3.15	2.38
	3.03	3.05	2.44
	3.12	2.94	2.47	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.96	3.08	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.28)	3.06 ↓ (3.31)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jedinstvo Ub
31.2%

Draw
30.1%

Mladost Lučani
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jedinstvo Ub has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladost Lučani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jedinstvo Ub than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mladost Lučani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jedinstvo Ub - Mladost Lučani Predictions

Users Predictions: Mladost Lučani will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Jovanovic V. (G) 27. Stevancevic U. 26. Acimovic D. 5. Damjanic V. 77. Golubovic S. 23. Moreno S. 22. Matic U. (C) 9. Milanovic I. 10. Miladinovic D. 8. Ferreira P. 29. Popovic A.	1. Stamenkovic S. (G) 17. Varjacic A. 7. Andric N. 77. Ljubomirac U. 12. Joksimovic M. 33. Udovicic Z. 28. Pejovic A. 18. Zunic F. 29. Jojic N. 35. Lekovic N. (C) 10. Bojic P.
Substitutes
13. Arana J. 47. Damnjanovic U. 99. Dubljanic M. (G) 34. Durasovic A. 21. Jordania L. 1. Jovanovic I. (G) 30. Mladenovic L. 96. Paic A. 28. Perez T. 18. Rakic S. 19. Runjajic B.	31. Alempijevic O. 11. Bondzulic O. 25. Ciric J. 4. Divac M. 45. Friday P. 22. Krsmanovic O. 15. Marinkovic D. 5. Milosevic A. 72. Ndiaye I. 23. Samcovic Z. (G) 8. Tumbasevic J.
Coaches
Obradovic M.	Trajkovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Milanovic I. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Bojic P. ⚽, Ljubomirac U. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Moreno S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ferreira P. ↓, Rakic S. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Pejovic A. (Pen),
82', Stevancevic U. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
82', Milanovic I. ↓, Runjajic B. ↑,
84', Bojic P. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
84', Jojic N. ↓, Divac M. ↑,
86', Moreno S. ↓, Jordania L. ↑,
90', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Friday P. ↑,
90+4', Divac M. 🟨,
90+5', Acimovic D. 🟨,

Preview

Jedinstvo Ub has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mladost Lučani is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jedinstvo Ub could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jedinstvo Ub won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jedinstvo Ub
Serbian Superliga
30.11.24	Partizan - Jedinstvo Ub	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Napredak Kruševac - Jedinstvo Ub	2:1 ✺
04.11.24	Jedinstvo Ub - OFK Beograd	0:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Čukarički	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.10.24	Radnički 1923 - Jedinstvo Ub	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mladost Lučani
Serbian Cup
04.12.24	Mladost Lučani - IMT Novi Beograd	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
30.11.24	Mladost Lučani - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Vojvodina - Mladost Lučani	0:0 ✺
04.11.24	Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
03.08.24	Mladost Lučani - Jedinstvo Ub	2:1

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