Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Waldomiro Borges Stadium (Jequié)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TVE Bahia


	Jequié		Jacobina

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.44	3.9	6.2
	1.42	4.04	7.53
	1.44	3.93	7.07	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.47	3.83	7.77
	1.44	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	3.91 ↑ (3.48)	6.9 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jequié
63.4%

Draw
23.3%

Jacobina
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jequié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jequié's performance.

Jacobina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Jequié - Jacobina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Passos (G) 8. Gilberto Junior 6. Gilmar 20. Gregory 4. Jean 10. Joao Grilo (C) 7. Lucas Shallon 9. Recife T. 3. Sergio Baiano 2. Wanderson Lima 5. Ygor	1. Nilton (G) 2. Anderson Bandeira 4. Bruno Henrique 9. Bruno Nunes 5. Guilherme Ivo 3. Hugo (C) 8. Ivamar Junior 10. Marquinho 11. Roni Santos 7. Wellington Alves 6. Zeca
Substitutes
15. Azevedo . Deijair (G) 14. Gabriel Henrique 18. Guga Freira 11. Kaynan 23. Marcos Paulo 22. Neto Rocha (G) 16. Railan 21. Tiquinho 19. Vicente 17. Wanderson 13. Weslley	17. Aleff 13. Caio 14. Codorna C. 12. Erick (G) 16. Henry 18. Nata 25. Nilton 15. Puca 20. Ruan Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lucas Shallon ⚽,
11', Gregory 🟨,
13', Anderson Bandeira 🟨,
23', Ivamar Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Hugo ↓, Caio ↑,
63', Ivamar Junior ↓, Ruan Costa ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Roni Santos ⚽,
69', 🟨,
75', Ygor ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
75', Gilberto Junior ↓, Kaynan ↑,
78', Nilton ↓, Erick ↑,
78', Bruno Nunes ↓, Puca ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2).

Recent matches Jequié is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jacobina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jacobina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jequié is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jequié won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jequié won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.25	Porto SC - Jequié	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Jequié - Bahia	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jequié	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Jequié - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTWT
- Jacobina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.25	Jacobina - Juazeirense	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	4:0 ✺
22.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Jacobina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Jacobina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.03.24	Jacobina - Jequié	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
30.07.23	Jacobina - Jequié	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
20.01.19	Jequié - Jacobina	1:0

Jequié - Jacobina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide