Match Info

Baiano - Round 7

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Waldomiro Borges Stadium (Jequié)


	Jequié		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.12
	3.4	3.22	2.09
	3.34	3.21	2.07	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.35	3.13	2.07
	3.4	3.33	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jequié
27.5%

Draw
28.9%

Vitória Salvador
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

30.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Jequié - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabio (G) 14. Caique Baiano 17. Claudinei 13. Diego Bolt 16. Gabriel Carioca 20. Nael 9. Recife T. 15. Sergio Baiano 5. Walfrido 3. William Mineiro 25. Ze Gatinha	71. Yuri (G) 59. de Jesus Soares G. 91. Diogo Antonio 28. Dudu Miraima 26. Edenilson 99. Felipe Vieira 19. Kike Saverio 63. Lawan 11. Osvaldo (C) 5. Riccieli 8. Ronald Lopes
Substitutes
1. Andre Lucas (G) 2. Carlos Santos 7. Cassio 19. Dhomene 23. Dias G. (G) 18. Elivelton 21. Joao Grilo 10. Luiz Fernando 22. Marcinho 11. Matos dos Santos Junior E. 4. Weverton	49. Cabrobo M. 76. Felipe Cardoso 67. Guilherme Inacio 48. Ivan 56. Kauan Vitor 52. Lucas Lohan 64. Luis Miguel 57. Oliveira Reis E. (G) 62. Pablo 50. Paulo Roberto 41. Wendell Santos 55. Ze Breno

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Kike Saverio ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Nael ⚽,
42', Ze Gatinha 🟨,
44', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Recife T. ⚽,
57', Ronald Lopes ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
57', Felipe Vieira ↓, Pablo ↑,
62', Gabriel Carioca ↓, Cassio ↑,
68', Recife T. ↓, Joao Grilo ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Pablo ⚽,
72', Kike Saverio ↓, Lucas Lohan ↑,
76', Claudinei ↓, Elivelton ↑,
77', Ze Gatinha ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Jequié is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jequié won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jequié won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
04.02.26	Jacuipense - Jequié	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Jequié - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juazeirense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Jequié - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Remo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
25.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
16.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Jequié	2:0
31.01.24	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	1:0
06.02.19	Vitória Salvador - Jequié	4:0
25.02.18	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	1:5

Upcoming Matches