Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	11	Watch
	1.22	4.95	11	Watch
	1.23	5.69	16.94
	1.25	5.12	10.9	Watch
	1.2	5	15
	1.28	5.02	11.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	5.09 ↑ (4.46)	12.74 ↑ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
74.6%

Draw
18.2%

Juazeirense
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

20.5%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+2%)

Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas (C) 25. Caca 17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 36. Luan Candido 10. Matheuzinho 13. Ramon 91. Rene	1. Pedro Campanelli (G) 21. Bino 19. Bravo 11. Diki 8. Douglas Nathan 4. Eduardo Rosado 16. Felipe Vasconcelos 10. Luan 9. Pardal A. 13. Rafael Mandacaru 3. Ze Romario (C)
Substitutes
28. Anderson 95. Caique Goncalves 59. de Jesus Soares G. 22. Gabriel (G) 18. Kauan 31. Lopez R. 20. Lucas Silva 11. Osvaldo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 69. Wanderson 88. Ze Vitor	2. Breno Rayck 7. Bruno Sena 6. Daniel Nazare 14. Dias Monteiro F. 20. Jozielson 17. Marlon Almeida 18. Silva E. 33. Thiago Santos (G) 15. Wanderson Papaterra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rene ⚽,
8', Edenilson 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Matheuzinho ⚽,
30', Caca 🟨,
33', Rafael Mandacaru 🟨,
33', Baralhas 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Luan ↓, Wanderson Papaterra ↑,
46', Douglas Nathan ↓, Bruno Sena ↑,
46', Lucas Arcanjo ↓, Gabriel ↑,
46', Caca ↓, de Jesus Soares G. ↑,
63', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
66', Felipe Benedetti 🟨,
68', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
69', Pardal A. ↓, Jozielson ↑,
69', Bino ↓, Marlon Almeida ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Matheuzinho ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
77', Rafael Mandacaru ↓, Breno Rayck ↑,
82', Baralhas ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Lucas Silva ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Marlon Almeida ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Erick ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juazeirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vitória is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLW
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Juazeirense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Fluminense Piaui - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.02.26	Bahia - Juazeirense	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Juazeirense - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.26	Porto SC - Juazeirense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	4:0
15.01.25	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	1:4
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	3:0
18.01.23	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	3:1
16.01.22	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	1:1
21.04.21	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	1:1

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