Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 22

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Dimona

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.2	3.44	2.77
	2.18	3.65	2.78	Watch
	2.23	3.34	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	3.46 ↓ (3.51)	2.82 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
41.5%

Draw
26.3%

Dimona
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Jerusalem FC - Dimona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Schwartz M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Adi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, Elimelech O. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Jerusalem is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dimona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jerusalem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jerusalem will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SC Dimona	5	4	0	1	8:7	1	12
3	Jerusalem FC	5	3	2	0	9:4	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.02.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:3 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC	1:5 ✺
30.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Beitar Yavne - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW
- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.02.26	Dimona - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Dimona	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Dimona - Kfar Saba 1928	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Dimona	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Dimona - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
03.11.25	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:1
22.04.25	Jerusalem FC - Dimona	0:3
19.12.24	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:0

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