Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 19

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Herzliya		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.3	2.25
	2.75	3.21	2.33
	2.77	3.41	2.28	Watch
	2.79	3.2	2.33
	2.75	3.14	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.02)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)	2.3 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Herzliya
32.8%

Draw
27.9%

Jerusalem FC
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Herzliya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Moghrabi Y. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Cohen M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Schwartz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 3, Schwartz M. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Cohen M. ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, Avraham Y. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Recent form of Hapoel Herzliya has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jerusalem has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jerusalem will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Herzliya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hapoel Herzliya	6	3	3	0	6:2	4	12
6	Jerusalem FC	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Kfar Saba 1928 - Hapoel Herzliya	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLL
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Beitar Yavne - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
16.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
26.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0
12.03.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC	6:1
08.11.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0

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