Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 15

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Hapoel Azor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.35
	1.66	3.58	4.71	Watch
	1.63	3.58	4.79
	1.6	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.61 ↓ (3.66)	4.65 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
55.4%

Draw
25.1%

Hapoel Azor
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hapoel Azor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jerusalem will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hapoel Azor (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Azor (3.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hapoel Azor (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Azor (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Cohen M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Yosef R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 13).

Jerusalem is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Azor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jerusalem is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jerusalem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jerusalem FC	5	3	2	0	9:4	5	11
10	Hapoel Azor	5	2	1	2	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
01.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Jerusalem FC	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWW
- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Tzeirei Tira	0:3 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Azor	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Kfar Saba 1928	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
24.01.25	Hapoel Azor - Jerusalem FC	0:3
20.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	3:1

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