Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Holon Yermiyahu

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.38	3.26	2.52
	2.58	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.69	3.1	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.84)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.54 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
36%

Draw
28.2%

Holon Yermiyahu
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

29.4%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerusalem FC's performance.

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holon Yermiyahu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerusalem FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holon Yermiyahu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jerusalem FC - Holon Yermiyahu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Fadida R. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Shechter A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6).

Jerusalem is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Holon Yermiyahu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holon Yermiyahu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Holon Yermiyahu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jerusalem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:4 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Azor - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWW
- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Dimona	3:1 ✺
23.01.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	0:0

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