Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Azor		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	4.34	3.53	1.68
	4.32	3.73	1.7	Watch
	4.57	3.7	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (2.9)	3.65 ↑ (3.22)	1.67 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Azor
20.7%

Draw
24.9%

Jerusalem FC
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Azor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Azor's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Azor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Hapoel Azor - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Azor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jerusalem will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Kaplan E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', Ben Haim T. 🟥,
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', Rahamim A. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.01.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:0 ✺
03.01.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Azor	0:2 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0 ✺
13.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2 ✺
10.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Azor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWWLW
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
10.01.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
03.01.25	Jerusalem FC - Tzeirei Tira	2:2 ✺
27.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2 ✺
19.12.24	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
20.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	3:1

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