Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 9

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Shimshon Kafr Qasim		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	6.6	4.7	1.36
	5.94	4.23	1.35
	6.69	4.54	1.39	Watch
	6.99	4.65	1.35
	6.6	4.7	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↑ (4.18)	4.56 ↑ (3.36)	1.36 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Kafr Qasim
13.8%

Draw
19.8%

Jerusalem FC
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.1%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Kafr Qasim's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Kafr Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 7).

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jerusalem is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Jerusalem is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	4:1 ✺
22.10.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLLL
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Jerusalem FC	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTTWW

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