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Current Win Probability
Jerv 52.8%
Draw 25.2%
Sotra 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.6%
25.9%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
25.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerv's performance.
Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sotra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerv that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sotra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jerv - Sotra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Agelin T. 15. Almen M. (C) 16. Andersen D. 11. Badjie K. 97. Furaha J. 3. Hultqvist D. 10. Kvinge M. 17. Nordbo S. 40. Osestad S. 20. Svendby C. 7. Syvertsen P.
1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 11. Haland T. 15. Hildal T. 19. Hjorteseth I. (C) 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. 6. Wik S.
Substitutes
26. Isaksen P. 22. Kolve E. 5. Lillehammer F. 4. Sanchez J. 36. Seim-Monsen M. 9. Simba P. 99. Skiftenes A. (G) 14. Stalesen J. 42. Syvertsen M.
22. Bildoy M. 27. Ekren V. S. 7. Falck F. 18. Jonassen J. 23. Lunde M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Aaserud M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Badjie K. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Kvinge M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 3 - 0, Syvertsen P. ⚽,
59', Hildal T. ↓, Falck F. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Johansen A. ⚽,
63', Syvertsen P. ↓, Simba P. ↑,
63', Furaha J. ↓, Kolve E. ↑,
71', Osestad S. 🟨,
77', Kvinge M. ↓, Syvertsen M. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Johansen A. ⚽,
84', Badjie K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
84', Haland T. ↓, Lunde M. ↑,
90', Torum D. ↓, Ekren V. S. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Bildoy M. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 3, Simba P. ⚽,
90+6', Simba P. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - OBOS - ligaen and 5th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bookmakers give the edge to Jerv for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Jerv has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jerv against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Norway
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Agelin T. 
Almen M. (C) 
Andersen D. 
Badjie K. 
Hultqvist D. 
Sanchez J. 
Simba P. 
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