Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 23

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)


	Jerv		Start

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3	4	2.1	Watch
	2.98	4.06	2.16
	2.7	3.6	2.1
	2.97	3.98	2.13	Watch
	2.85	3.7	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	3.85 ↑ (3.68)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
31.9%

Draw
24.3%

Start
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

25.4%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Jerv - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Start will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jerv: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (G) 4. Mutsinzi A. 5. Sandberg E. 3. Larade L. 2. Wichne T. 10. Fernandes L. 6. Wichmann M. 15. Brenden E. 7. Hauge R. 9. Hustad E. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.	1. Torkildsen J. (G) 14. Mares L. 3. Wormgoor V. 2. Antonsson B. 21. Sjokvist S. 16. Strannegard T. 4. Sakor V. 7. Derviskadic E. 30. Ness F. O. 8. Grundetjern M. 10. Sanyang A.
Substitutes
29. Coly A. 17. Diabate B. 26. Dirdal G. (G) 25. Endresen A. 16. Krogelien H. 23. Ness T. 27. Philibert E. 8. Ugland M. 21. van der Sluys D.	31. Dashaev D. 25. Gregersen J. 96. Jensen M. (G) 44. Nkubiri S. 40. Osestad S. 15. Robstad H. 22. Sadiku A. 28. Vikstol R. 23. Wallius K.
Coaches
Kjono E.	Tjelmeland S.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 2.

Jerv has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Start is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Jerv won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.09.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Jerv	6:2 ✺
27.08.23	Jerv - Bryne	1:3 ✺
23.08.23	Mjøndalen - Jerv	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Jerv - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Kristiansund - Jerv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Ranheim - Start	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Start - Åsane	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Raufoss - Start	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Start - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.06.23	Start - Jerv	2:1
23.10.21	Jerv - Start	3:2
19.05.21	Start - Jerv	2:4
Club Friendly
21.02.20	Start - Jerv	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.19	Jerv - Start	1:7
16.05.19	Start - Jerv	3:2
Club Friendly
04.03.19	Start - Jerv	1:0

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