Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 1

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Start		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.76	3.83	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.86	3.92	3.62	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.06)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	3.69 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
49.9%

Draw
24.9%

Sogndal
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

24.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sogndal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Start - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Start will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Sogndal will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Start: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 13. Griesbeck S. 6. Norheim J. 2. Palerud F. 22. Nilsen A. E. 10. Mvoue S. 11. Schulze E. (C) 16. Strannegard T. 8. Grundetjern M. 20. Lorentzen H.	21. Saetren D. (G) 2. Bras D. 32. Oren M. 33. Granheim S. A. 17. Sjolstad M. 10. Skaanes K. 6. Hoyland M. (C) 16. Vapne L. 8. Flaten J. 19. Flataker E. 9. Hintsa O.
Substitutes
25. Benjamin T. 30. Gausdal L. 29. Gono E. 5. Jebali O. 37. Kolbeinshavn J. 31. Seim J. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Sunday G. 3. Ujkani A.	36. Aroy M. 77. Borgthorsson O. 18. Hagen V. 14. Haruna J. 1. Jendal L. (G) 11. Mensah E. 29. Steinset K.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Kalvenes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Flataker E. (Pen),
33', 1 - 1, Grundetjern M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Lorentzen H. ⚽, Schulze E. (A),
59', Schulze E. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
63', Nilsen A. E. 🟨,
65', Hintsa O. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
65', Nilsen A. E. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
81', Granheim S. A. ↓, Hagen V. ↑,
81', Oren M. ↓, Haruna J. ↑,
81', Vapne L. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
85', Lorentzen H. ↓, Benjamin T. ↑,
85', Mvoue S. ↓, Ujkani A. ↑,
90+1', Bras D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Start won 3.

Start in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sogndal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Start have a series of home games.

Start will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Start to win the game is with odds 1.88.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Start won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Start won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:6 (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Start - Viking Stavanger	4:3 ✺
16.03.25	Start - Lyn	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Start - Jerv	3:1 ✺
20.02.25	Start - Arendal	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Start - Egersund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 65.8 WWWWT
- Sogndal Fotball
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Åsane - Sogndal	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Brann - Sogndal	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	Sogndal - Hødd	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sogndal - Lyn	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Sogndal - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.07.24	Sogndal - Start	4:0
28.05.24	Start - Sogndal	2:1
13.08.23	Start - Sogndal	2:0
04.06.23	Sogndal - Start	2:1
22.10.22	Sogndal - Start	1:2
15.05.22	Start - Sogndal	5:1
20.11.21	Sogndal - Start	1:1

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