Match Info

2. SNL - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovenia	16:00	NZS


	Jesenice		Brežice

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.60	3.90
	1.72	3.60	3.75	Watch
	1.71	3.87	3.72
	1.8	4.04	3.75	Watch
	1.69	3.80	3.65
	1.67	3.80	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.79 ↑ (3.77)	3.8 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesenice
52.5%

Draw
23.8%

Brežice
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesenice than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Jesenice - Brežice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th and 16th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Jesenice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Brežice is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Jesenice is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	NK Jesenice	12	5	2	5	20:19	1	17
16	Brezice	12	1	4	7	12:21	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Jesenice
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.26	Triglav - Jesenice	4:0 ✺
27.09.26	Jesenice - Vrhnika	5:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bilje - Jesenice	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Jesenice - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Krka - Jesenice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWL
- NK Brežice
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.10.26	Brežice - Primorje	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Brežice	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Brežice - Rudar Velenje	3:4 ✺
16.09.26	Triglav - Brežice	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bistrica - Brežice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Jesenice - Brežice