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Current Win Probability
Jeunesse Canach 46.3%
Draw 36.8%
Mondorf-les-Bains 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
22.7%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
21.9%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jeunesse Canach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jeunesse Canach's performance.
Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mondorf-les-Bains might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (-20.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeunesse Canach that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+35.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mondorf-les-Bains could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jeunesse Canach - Mondorf les Bains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roulez V. (C) 12. Amofa B. 22. Costa T. 10. Desevic A. 14. Deville M. 8. Jimmy 98. Kuete Nsidjine D. 15. Laborie P. 19. Mendes C. 84. Nelsinho 11. Nico
1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 94. Coulibaly M. 32. Deher M. 9. Fournier L. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 6. Knoepffler A. 29. Kumbi J. 72. Tinelli L.
Substitutes
93. Cafafa T. 7. Jun C. W. 3. Lauback J. 90. Martins R. (G) 17. Parreira 9. Perkovic B. 16. Rouffignac B.
21. Agovic E. (G) 5. Benhemine A. 10. Cervellera Y. 11. Issaka C. 7. Lopes S. 18. Stoltz L. 31. Ubaldini A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Deville M. 🟨,
36', Deville M. ↓, Perkovic B. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Amofa B. ⚽, Kuete Nsidjine D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Tinelli L. ↓, Issaka C. ↑,
55', Knoepffler A. ↓, Lopes S. ↑,
56', Cervellera Y. 🟨,
65', Kumbi J. 🟨,
66', Desevic A. ↓, Parreira ↑,
71', Kumbi J. ↓, Stoltz L. ↑,
73', Parreira 🟨,
73', 🟨,
77', Fournier L. 🟨,
78', Costa T. ↓, Cafafa T. ↑,
78', Nico ↓, Rouffignac B. ↑,
85', Holter D. ↓, Benhemine A. ↑,
89', Jimmy 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Mondorf is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Canach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Canach won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).