Match Info

Jia League - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Liaoning Tieren		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.6	7
				Watch
	1.29	5.4	12.37
				Watch
	1.22	5	12.6	Watch
	1.37	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	4.83 ↑ (4.15)	9.89 ↑ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
71.3%

Draw
19.3%

Nanjing City
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

21.9%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

20.6%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 6. Gao Jiarun 5. Li Peng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 8. Samuel A. 18. Tian Yinong 14. Zang Yifeng 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 9. Mbenza G.	21. Qi Yuxi (G) 24. Du Junpeng 18. Dong Honglin (C) 42. Lupeta J. 31. Zhu Qiwen 11. Hu Rentian 7. Guo Yi 39. Yu Menghui 3. Li Mingfan 10. Ogbu M. 22. Meng Zhen
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 11. Gui Zihan 4. Liu Langzhou 32. Mao Kaiyu 44. Nijat Pirkani 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	30. An Bang 16. Ding Yunfeng 6. Dujardin A. 5. Isic T. 45. Ji Xiang 32. Li Guangwen 9. Ling Jie 8. Yang Dejiang 38. Zhang Hui 20. Zhang Xianbing 1. Zheng Hao (G) 27. Zheng Xuejian
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Gao Jiarun 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Lupeta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Li Mingfan 🟨,
51', Li Mingfan ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
60', Hu Rentian ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
61', Guo Yi ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
68', Tian Yinong ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
72', Ji Xiang 🟨,
73', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
73', Meng Zhen ↓, Ding Yunfeng ↑,
75', Xu Dong 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Li Peng ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
21.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Ningbo Professional	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTL
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
22.06.25	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Nanjing City - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:4 ✺
25.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.08.24	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	5:1
31.03.24	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	0:0
05.11.23	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	3:0
23.07.23	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1
30.08.22	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0
30.09.21	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	3:3

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