Match Info

Jia League - Round 16

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.15	6.5	13.5
	1.09	6.9	20	Watch
	1.12	7.01	37.49
				Watch
	1.15	6	19
	1.06	7.3	35	Watch
	1.15	7	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↑ (1.1)	6.79 ↑ (6.5)	23.33 ↑ (20.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
82.4%

Draw
13.6%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.8%

13.8%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Guangxi (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Liaoning Tieren (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 1 - 50%). Guangxi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 3. Pan Ximing 5. Li Peng 4. Liu Langzhou 15. Felipe 18. Tian Yinong 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.	22. He Lipan (C) 35. Zhu Yue 45. Huang Wei 4. Feng Yifan 36. Yang Minjie 8. Hu Jiajin 19. Chen Quanjiang 32. You Wenjie 2. Ning An 38. Zhang Wei 16. Zhang Zili
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 44. Nijat Pirkani 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 25. Yang Jian 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	10. Asamoah S. 28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 44. Fan Chao 20. Jiang Zhengjie 39. Lu Chenghe 13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Maeda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Liu Langzhou 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chen Quanjiang ↓, Asamoah S. ↑,
60', Ning An ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
60', Hu Jiajin ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
64', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
69', Zhu Yue 🟨,
75', Yang Jingfan 🟨,
79', Samuel A. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
84', Liu Langzhou ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
86', Yang Minjie ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
86', Zhang Zili ↓, Lu Chenghe ↑,
88', Asamoah S. 🟨,
88', Gui Zihan 🟨,
90+10', Zang Yifeng 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2.

Liaoning Tieren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guangxi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
06.07.25	Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Ningbo Professional	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWW
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
05.07.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shaanxi Union	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.03.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	0:3
14.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1
17.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
09.09.23	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0
27.05.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
29.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
04.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	2:2

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