Match Info

K4 League - Round 21

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Jinju Citizen		Namyangju

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.00	5.75
	1.43	4.20	5.60
	1.44	4.04	5.92
	1.43	4.49	6
	1.42	4.00	5.85
	1.48	4.29	5.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)	4.17 ↑ (4)	5.83 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jinju Citizen
62.8%

Draw
21.7%

Namyangju
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jinju Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jinju Citizen's performance.

Namyangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jinju Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namyangju than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Jinju Citizen - Namyangju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K3 League and 4).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Namyangju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jinju Citizen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jinju Citizen is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jinju Citizen	21	16	3	2	50:16	34	51
3	Namyangju	22	11	6	5	32:27	5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jinju Citizen FC
South Korean K4 League
30.08.26	Geumsan Insam - Jinju Citizen	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Gijang United - Jinju Citizen	1:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Jinju Citizen	3:1 ✺
29.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Jinju Citizen	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K4 League
26.07.26	Pyeongtaek Citizen - Jinju Citizen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW
- Namyangju FC
South Korean K4 League
29.08.26	Seosan Pioneer - Namyangju	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Seoul Jungrang - Namyangju	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Jecheon Citizen - Namyangju	2:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Namyangju - Gimpo	1:2 ✺
South Korean K4 League
12.07.26	Namyangju - Haman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW

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