Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Joane		Dumiense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.26	5.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)	3.26 ↑ (3.08)	5.14 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joane
53.8%

Draw
28.2%

Dumiense
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joane's performance.

Dumiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dumiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joane than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dumiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joane - Dumiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,
80', 4 - 3, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Joane has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dumiense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Joane is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Joane
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Joane - Vianense	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vila Real - Joane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.02.25	Dumiense - Bragança	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Dumiense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Dumiense - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Os Sandinenses - Dumiense	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Dumiense - Paredes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Dumiense - Joane	1:1

Joane - Dumiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide