Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday


	Chalatenango		Águila

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.73
	4	3.2	1.75
	4.2	3.25	1.77
	5.58	3.15	1.76
	4.75	3.32	1.74
	4.2	3.25	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.82)	3.23 ↑ (3.16)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chalatenango
20.1%

Draw
28.1%

Águila
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Chalatenango - Águila Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chalatenango will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Águila will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 1.

Chalatenango has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Águila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Águila have a series of home games.

In this match Águila is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 7 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 25-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Chalatenango won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
26.02.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Chalatenango	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	CD Dragón - Chalatenango	7:1 ✺
05.02.23	Chalatenango - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLL
- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
26.02.23	Águila - Jocoro	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Águila - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Águila - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
20.10.22	Chalatenango - Águila	1:2
28.09.22	Águila - Chalatenango	2:0
16.04.22	Chalatenango - Águila	0:0
12.02.22	Águila - Chalatenango	0:1
02.11.21	Chalatenango - Águila	1:1
25.08.21	Águila - Chalatenango	2:1
01.05.21	Águila - Chalatenango	2:1

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