Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Águila		Jocoro

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.75
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.34	3.99	6.4
	1.43	4.44	7.41
	1.33	4.2	7.5
	1.37	4.2	7.15
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)	7.03 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
65.5%

Draw
21.6%

Jocoro
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.6%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

15.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jocoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jocoro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águila won 5.

Recent matches Águila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jocoro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jocoro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Águila is certain favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Águila won 17 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 47-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Águila won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
11.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Águila - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Águila - Municipal Limeño	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Águila	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTWTL
- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
10.02.24	Jocoro - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	CD FAS - Jocoro	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Jocoro - CD Dragón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
23.12.23	Águila - Jocoro	3:0
12.11.23	Águila - Jocoro	2:0
17.09.23	Jocoro - Águila	0:2
18.05.23	Jocoro - Águila	2:3
22.04.23	Jocoro - Águila	0:1
26.02.23	Águila - Jocoro	1:0
15.10.22	Águila - Jocoro	5:1

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