Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)


	Jonava		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.49
	5.2	4	1.47
	4.9	3.7	1.48
	4.55	4	1.52
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.15	4.15	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↓ (6.76)	3.93 ↓ (4.26)	1.5 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
17.4%

Draw
22.8%

Banga Gargždai
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.2%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.2%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

Jonava - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jonava will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Banga will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jonava: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Banga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Banga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lietava Jonava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lietava Jonava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.09.22	Riteriai - Jonava	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Jonava - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Žalgiris - Jonava	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
16.08.22	Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.08.22	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.09.22	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Banga Gargždai - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0 ✺
06.08.22	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
14.05.22	Banga Gargždai - Jonava	1:1
19.03.22	Jonava - Banga Gargždai	1:3
Lithuanian Division 2
22.06.19	Banga Gargždai - Jonava	6:0

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