The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panevėžys 34.6%
Draw 28.8%
Banga Gargždai 36.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.2%
27.2%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
26.3%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panevėžys's performance.
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 32. Rasimavicius R. 13. Kerkez S. 33. Keita S. 66. Balsys D. 77. Bizoza P. 6. Ramanauskas M. 8. Kouadio S. 24. Petkevicius N. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 34. Asante I.
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 3. Malzinskas D. 27. Henning R. 19. Antuzis V. 51. Cadu 30. Cande U. 45. Sato M. 13. Zebrauskas N. (C) 99. Olugbogi A. 7. Norvilas D. 9. Appiah A.
Substitutes
27. Asamoah K. 16. Bacanin M. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 15. Janusevskis J. 50. Krasniqi L. 17. Kurtsev O. 26. Simon J. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M. 7. Veliulis E.
22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 11. Filipavicius R. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 28. Lukas D. 77. Venckus I. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.
Marques Afonso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Appiah A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Kerkez S. ⚽,
59', Kouadio S. ↓, Veliulis E. ↑,
59', Petkevicius N. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
67', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
68', Sato M. ↓, Filipavicius R. ↑,
73', Balsys D. 🟨,
76', Zebrauskas N. ↓, Lukas D. ↑,
76', Olugbogi A. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
80', Balsys D. ↓, Bopesu J. ↑,
80', Asante I. ↓, Kurtsev O. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Bizoza P. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 4.
Panevėžys is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Banga have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Banga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Banga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Panevėžys has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:15 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Panevėžys against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Banga
30
11
9
10
33:30
3
42
7
FK Panevezys
30
10
5
15
32:46
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
Panevėžys - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Lithuania
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Cerniauskas V. (C) 
Kerkez S. 
Keita S. 
Bizoza P. 
Kouadio S. 
Asante I. 
Krynskyi V. (G) 
Henning R. 
Cadu 
Cande U. 
Sato M. 
Olugbogi A. 
Appiah A. 
Asamoah K. 
Bacanin M. 
Bopesu J. 
Grajfoner L. 
van den Bos M. 
Korkeakunnas T. 
Marques Afonso D. 
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