Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)


	Jonava		Panevėžys 2

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.65	3.35
	1.9	3.59	3.32
	1.9	3.77	3.37	Watch
	1.94	3.89	3.42	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.15)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	3.36 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
48%

Draw
24.7%

Panevėžys 2
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jonava's performance.

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panevėžys 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)

Jonava - Panevėžys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivickas V. (G) 67. Benevicius N. 17. Dedura M. 44. Dombrauskis T. 92. Dubickas A. 99. Ganusauskas M. 11. Mickevicius E. 21. Nikonovas G. 6. Olsauskas K. 9. Raginis A. 23. Rocys A. (C)	13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 55. Chaplanov D. 23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.
Substitutes
27. Barila M. 8. Beniusis R. 12. Cerkauskas L. 35. Jakimavicius V. (G) 19. Kabosius A. 16. Matuzas M. (G) 96. Neverdauskas M. 5. Rackus A. 70. Rusnius R. 42. Saliunas M.	2. Gleveckas D. 14. Kulbis R. 7. Kuodis K. 77. Laimikis L. 22. Muraska G. 12. Valius L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Chaplanov D. 🟨,
43', Sonkevicius K. ↓, Kulbis R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olsauskas K. ↓, Cerkauskas L. ↑,
57', Slobodian A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Mickevicius E. ⚽,
65', Kulbis R. ↓, Laimikis L. ↑,
65', Pusnys M. ↓, Kuodis K. ↑,
72', Mickevicius E. ↓, Beniusis R. ↑,
86', Raginis A. 🟨,
90+1', Sivickas V. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 7).

Recent performances by Jonava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Panevėžys 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.25	Neptūnas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WTLTT
- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.09.23	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	4:1
22.04.23	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:2
15.10.21	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:1
27.06.21	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	0:1
12.09.20	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	4:1

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