Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)


	Jonava		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.8	5.7	1.2	Watch
	10.76	5.45	1.21
	1.00	1.00	1.18	Watch
	11	5	1.25
	11.5	5.2	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.81 ↑ (6.97)	4.47 ↓ (4.69)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
9.8%

Draw
19.2%

Panevėžys
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

19.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

18.8%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Jonava - Panevėžys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivickas V. (G) 67. Benevicius N. 12. Cerkauskas L. 44. Dombrauskis T. 11. Mickevicius E. 14. Nainys P. 21. Nikonovas G. 6. Olsauskas K. 9. Raginis A. 23. Rocys A. 20. Stulga A.	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 4. Dante A. 10. De Vega L. 80. Elivelton 44. Grajfoner L. 15. Janusevskis J. 33. Keita S. 8. Kouadio S. 32. Rasimavicius R. 11. Smith A. 7. Veliulis E.
Substitutes
26. Bersta K. A. 92. Dubickas A. 99. Ganusauskas M. 31. Mataciunas N. 16. Matuzas M. (G) 7. Mironcikas M. 45. Petrusevicius D. (G) 70. Rusnius R. 2. Sungaila V.	27. Asamoah K. 16. Bacanin M. 13. Bukel D. (G) 20. Kerkez S. 2. Klimavicius L. 50. Krasniqi L. 9. Steponavicius F. 25. Vaicekauskas D. 5. van den Bos M.
Coaches
Utyra E.	Vrabec R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', Nikonovas G. 🟨,
21', Dombrauskis T. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Smith A. ⚽,
24', Kouadio S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Smith A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Smith A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mickevicius E. ↓, Ganusauskas M. ↑,
46', Stulga A. ↓, Dubickas A. ↑,
46', Olsauskas K. ↓, Bersta K. A. ↑,
46', Kouadio S. ↓, Steponavicius F. ↑,
55', Dante A. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Benevicius N. ⚽,
71', Elivelton ↓, Asamoah K. ↑,
75', Dubickas A. ↓, Rusnius R. ↑,
81', Veliulis E. ↓, van den Bos M. ↑,
88', Benevicius N. ↓, Mironcikas M. ↑,
90', Smith A. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
90', Vaicekauskas D. ↓, Klimavicius L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Klimavicius L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Panevėžys is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	0:0 ✺
23.07.25	Jonava - Transinvest	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Ekranas - Jonava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLT
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Riteriai - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
07.07.25	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.11.22	Panevėžys - Jonava	2:1
10.09.22	Jonava - Panevėžys	1:1
22.06.22	Jonava - Panevėžys	0:5
09.04.22	Panevėžys - Jonava	4:0
Lithuanian Cup
14.07.20	Jonava - Panevėžys	0:3
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.15	Panevėžys - Jonava	1:0

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