The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 47.6%
Draw 23.1%
BVV Barendrecht 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
22.6%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
23.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Almere City's form might have worsened.
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BVV Barendrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Almere City - BVV Barendrecht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Mateyo M. (G) 34. Teunissen S. (C) 42. Bos C. 38. Lenssen L. 32. Apinsa D. 37. van Beekveld Q. 20. Kalisvaart J. 45. Opdam L. 55. de Ruijter J. 54. Mulder I. 59. Dors X.
1. Meer Bradley (G) 12. Schop C. 7. Monster D. (C) 3. de Graaf T. 2. Brand J. 23. Hooreman F. 10. Fortes E. 24. Ouali R. 11. Serghini A. 9. Vugts B. 21. Mrowicki O.
Substitutes
49. Boerhout Y. 52. Brandt J. 57. Levant J. 58. Obasuyi E. 35. Pennock B. 31. van der Mark J. (G)
26. Bakour M. 6. Bayram T. 30. Keehnen N. (G) 17. Kieboom J. 4. Knol V. 14. Mohamedhoesein O. 15. Rook K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Schop C. ↓, Rook K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', de Ruijter J. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
51', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Pennock B. ↑,
53', Ouali R. 🟨,
54', Fortes E. 🟨,
58', Opdam L. 🟨,
60', Vugts B. 🟨,
61', Ouali R. 🟨,
62', Vugts B. ↓, Mohamedhoesein O. ↑,
62', Mrowicki O. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
66', Pennock B. 🟨,
69', Opdam L. ↓, Boerhout Y. ↑,
74', Mohamedhoesein O. ↓, Stewart O. ↑,
76', Pennock B. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Serghini A. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Lenssen L. ↓, Obasuyi E. ↑,
79', Dors X. ↓, Levant J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, de Graaf T. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Boerhout Y. ⚽,
88', Mulder I. 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, Hooreman F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 1 - 4, Bakour M. ⚽, Serghini A. (A),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2.
Jong Almere City is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Barendrecht have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Barendrecht may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Jong Almere City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Jong Almere City has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:9 (averaging 3.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Almere City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 4:1.3 per game).
Watch
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Mateyo M. (G) 
Apinsa D. 
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