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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 43.8%
Draw 24.4%
RKAV Volendam 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
22.5%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
18.5%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Almere City's form might have worsened.
RKAV Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RKAV Volendam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RKAV Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jong Almere City - RKAV Volendam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 27. Pinas J. 33. van Gom J. 45. Pennock B. 46. Smit M. 35. Kuiper J. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Lever S. (C) 58. Apinsa D. 49. Bais A. 37. Ghogli I.
1. Witte D. (G) 3. Schokker S. 13. Karregat P. 8. van Baarsen D. 21. Smit T. 15. Veerman S. 10. Runderkamp N. (C) 6. Kroon P. 25. Sier D. 26. Plugboer P. 7. Tol R.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 42. de Beer J. 57. Hagedoorn S. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 53. Zijsling J.
30. Ait Abdellah W. 9. Kwakman N. 12. Tol R. 29. van der Plas J. (G) 27. Zwarthoed D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Apinsa D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Veerman S. ⚽, Runderkamp N. (A),
45', 0 - 2, van Baarsen D. ⚽, Tol R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pennock B. ↓, de Beer J. ↑,
46', Bais A. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Lever S. ⚽,
55', Witte D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, Ghogli I. (Penalty Awarded),
58', van Baarsen D. ↓, Zwarthoed D. ↑,
58', Veerman S. ↓, Tol R. ↑,
61', 3 - 2, Hagedoorn S. ⚽, Lenssen L. (A),
66', Sier D. ↓, Ait Abdellah W. ↑,
66', Tol R. ↓, Kwakman N. ↑,
71', Lenssen L. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
78', Apinsa D. ↓, Abdulmahmoud S. ↑,
82', Schokker S. 🟨,
84', Hagedoorn S. 🟨,
90+3', Ghogli I. ↓, Zijsling J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
Jong Almere City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
RKAV Volendam has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Jong Almere City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 3.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Jong Almere City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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Mateyo M. (G) 
van Gom J. 
Saygi M. A. 
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