The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 40.9%
Draw 23%
BVV Barendrecht 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24.7%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
23.9%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - BVV Barendrecht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Borrie T. 4. Mulumba G. 5. Vianello G. 8. Oetoehganal L. (C) 6. Sandvliet N. 10. Guit V. 7. Hanzen D. 9. Hoeve Q. 11. Jaber el Maftahi Y.
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 4. Vermeer W. 7. Monster D. (C) 15. Rook K. 8. Jongman J. 6. Bayram T. 24. Ouali R. 17. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
12. Bogerd J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 15. Henry A. 16. Laguna Burgos S. 17. Sallent K. 14. van Zijl O. 19. Visser A.
18. de Bruin B. 10. Fortes E. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 14. Mohamedhoesein O. 21. Mrowicki O. 9. van der Heiden D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, de Graaf T. (Own goal),
40', Jaber el Maftahi Y. 🟨,
45', Sandvliet N. 🟨,
45+2', Rook K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rook K. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Jaber el Maftahi Y. ⚽, Oetoehganal L. (A),
62', Vianello G. ↓, van Zijl O. ↑,
62', Brand J. ↓, Mrowicki O. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Ouali R. ⚽, Vugts B. (A),
77', Jaber el Maftahi Y. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
77', Sandvliet N. ↓, Laguna Burgos S. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Guit V. ⚽,
81', Bayram T. ↓, Mohamedhoesein O. ↑,
81', Jongman J. ↓, van der Heiden D. ↑,
84', Vermeer W. 🟨,
85', 4 - 1, Hoeve Q. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Esser J. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
85', Hanzen D. ↓, Sallent K. ↑,
90', Henry A. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 2.
Recent performances by Jong Sparta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barendrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Barendrecht
8
4
2
2
15:12
3
14
8
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
8
3
3
2
23:15
8
12
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Suur R. (G) 
Hoeve Q. 
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