The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BVV Barendrecht 28.2%
Draw 22.5%
Spakenburg 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
22.2%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
22.2%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BVV Barendrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
BVV Barendrecht - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 7. Monster D. 15. Rook K. 6. Bayram T. 8. Jongman J. 14. Mohamedhoesein O. 21. Mrowicki O. 17. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
13. Houweling J. (G) 15. van Lopik H. 44. Guiting J. 81. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 16. Kok O. 8. van Huffel S. 27. Puriel J. 11. Junte R. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 7. El Azzouti A.
Substitutes
18. de Bruin B. 10. Fortes E. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 25. Rimon R. 9. van der Heiden D. 4. Vermeer W.
3. Apau M. 4. Claver C. 10. Kunst D. 21. Prins M. 17. van Dieren K. 23. van Dorp K. (G) 22. van Mil K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Green D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Puriel J. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, El Azzouti A. ⚽,
61', Mohamedhoesein O. ↓, de Bruin B. ↑,
61', Rook K. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
61', de Graaf T. ↓, Vermeer W. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Kok O. ⚽, El Azzouti A. (A),
71', Puriel J. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
71', Junte R. ↓, van Mil K. ↑,
78', Linthorst T. ↓, Apau M. ↑,
82', Monster D. ↓, Fortes E. ↑,
84', Guiting J. ↓, van Dieren K. ↑,
84', El Azzouti A. ↓, Prins M. ↑,
84', Mrowicki O. ↓, Rimon R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Spakenburg could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.7:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barendrecht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Barendrecht
8
4
2
2
15:12
3
14
7
Spakenburg
8
4
1
3
11:12
-1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Spakenburg - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.81%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.