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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34.6%
Draw 22%
IJsselmeervogels 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
22.4%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
21.9%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - IJsselmeervogels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Borrie T. 4. Mulumba G. 5. Vianello G. 10. el Meftahi Y. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 8. Guit V. 7. Arcos G. 9. Visser A. 11. Nieuwenhuijs L.
20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. 27. Mattheij J. 28. Janssen J. 29. Scholten S. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 26. Campman B. 21. van Hees M. 7. Doesburg R. 10. Dkidak A. 9. Beers J.
Substitutes
18. de Guzman J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 17. Hanzen D. 12. Henry A. 19. Hoeve Q. 16. Sandvliet N. 14. van Zijl O.
11. Hardijk M. 19. Ignacio R. 77. Kuisch G. 24. Robertha G. 14. Ruizendaal J. 1. Swaneveld M. (G) 3. van der Velden J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Martis B. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, el Meftahi Y. ⚽, Arcos G. (A),
32', Janssen J. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Nieuwenhuijs L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martis B. ↓, Kuisch G. ↑,
46', Campman B. ↓, Robertha G. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Kuisch G. (Own goal),
57', Doesburg R. ↓, Ignacio R. ↑,
57', Beers J. ↓, Hardijk M. ↑,
62', Vianello G. ↓, van Zijl O. ↑,
62', Arcos G. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
62', Visser A. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
67', Oetoehganal L. ↓, Sandvliet N. ↑,
71', Sandvliet N. 🟨,
72', Mattheij J. 🟨,
76', 4 - 0, el Meftahi Y. ⚽,
78', van Hees M. ↓, Ruizendaal J. ↑,
81', el Meftahi Y. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 2.
Jong Sparta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
IJsselmeervogels has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
IJsselmeervogels
7
4
1
2
10:5
5
13
8
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
8
3
3
2
23:15
8
12
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.19%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Suur R. (G) 
Arcos G. 
Hoeve Q. 
Ignacio R. 
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