The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kozakken Boys 34.6%
Draw 24.5%
Spakenburg 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
23.7%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
22.9%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kozakken Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Kozakken Boys - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Koorevaar J. (G) 2. Keukens F. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 5. van der Sluys D. 12. Stout G. (C) 21. Veenhoven M. 24. Damen G. 7. Hassan M. 9. Thomassen J. 99. Fermina C.
1. Heus M. (G) 6. da Fonseca G. 3. Apau M. (C) 81. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 14. Wesdorp K. 44. Guiting J. 8. van Huffel S. 7. El Azzouti A. 16. Kok O. 22. van Mil K.
Substitutes
11. Bouyaghlafen O. 20. den Besten D. 10. El Khayati N. 3. Hop S. 17. Jalloh S. 4. Urbanus G.
4. Claver C. 25. den Haan J. 11. Junte R. 10. Kunst D. 9. van der Linden F. 23. van Dorp K. (G) 15. van Lopik H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, El Azzouti A. ⚽, van Huffel S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Thomassen J. ⚽, Keukens F. (A),
60', van Mil K. ↓, Junte R. ↑,
60', Hassan M. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
60', Wesdorp K. ↓, Kunst D. ↑,
71', Kok O. ↓, van der Linden F. ↑,
78', Keukens F. ↓, den Besten D. ↑,
78', Veenhoven M. ↓, Hop S. ↑,
86', da Fonseca G. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, El Azzouti A. ⚽, van Huffel S. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 2.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kozakken Boys won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:17. (average 3:2.8).