The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kozakken Boys 43.4%
Draw 23.2%
Spakenburg 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.3%
22.3%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
22.2%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kozakken Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Spakenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Kozakken Boys - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 17. Pedro D. 12. Stout G. (C) 3. Hop S. 24. Damen G. 21. Deurloo Z. 9. Versluis D. 15. van den Berg M.
1. Damkalis S. (G) 16. Kok O. 15. van Lopik H. 18. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 7. el Azzouti A. 8. van Huffel S. (C) 34. Lever S. 26. Veenhoven M. 9. van der Weijden M. 14. Hage S.
Substitutes
7. Hassan M. 11. Jalloh S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 14. Maletic M. 4. Martina S. 18. Taytay Y.
27. Afaker M. 44. Guiting J. 77. Houweling J. (G) 17. Kroeze R. 10. Kunst D. 20. Quaedvlieg F. 2. Verhagen N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Deurloo Z. ⚽,
36', el Azzouti A. 🟨,
40', Damen G. 🟨,
44', Hage S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kok O. ↓, Kunst D. ↑,
46', el Azzouti A. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, van den Berg M. ⚽, Versluis D. (A),
67', van den Berg M. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
71', Giebels J. ↓, Martina S. ↑,
75', Lever S. ↓, Verhagen N. ↑,
81', Veenhoven M. ↓, Guiting J. ↑,
81', Hage S. ↓, Quaedvlieg F. ↑,
83', de Nooijer D. 🟥,
87', Versluis D. ↓, Maletic M. ↑,
87', Deurloo Z. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kozakken Boys won 1.
Kozakken Boys arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Spakenburg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Kozakken Boys has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:34 (averaging 2.2:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kozakken Boys against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:19 goals (averaging 2.7:2.7 per game).