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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 39.2%
Draw 25.8%
GVVV 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
22.2%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
22.6%
56.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Sparta Rotterdam's performance.
GVVV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVVV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVVV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - GVVV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Martes L. 4. Borrie T. 3. de Ligt M. 5. Kleijn M. 8. Santos A. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 10. Oukhattou M. 9. Seedorf J. 11. el Meftahi Y. 7. Hoeve Q.
31. Evora E. (G) 2. Dilrosun T. 8. Maguire B. (C) 20. Potjes J. 43. Brobbey S. 23. Vink W. 10. Veenhof Q. 4. Hillen K. 21. Spies J. 9. Latif I. 6. van Soest A.
Substitutes
16. Bynoe J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 18. Guit V. 14. Hanzen D. 12. Henry A. 19. Lourens D. 17. Razak K.
15. de Leeuw D. 22. Dumay Q. 14. Meeuwsen K. 7. Sint V. 29. Slijkhuis G. 11. Sow S. 1. van Kouwen R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Hillen K. (Own goal),
37', 2 - 0, Seedorf J. ⚽, Santos A. (A),
39', van Soest A. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Santos A. ⚽,
42', Spies J. 🟨,
43', Martes L. 🟨,
45+2', 4 - 0, Santos A. ⚽, Martes L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Spies J. ↓, Sow S. ↑,
46', Latif I. ↓, Sint V. ↑,
46', Hillen K. ↓, Slijkhuis G. ↑,
46', van Soest A. ↓, Meeuwsen K. ↑,
46', de Ligt M. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
49', 4 - 1, Dilrosun T. ⚽, Meeuwsen K. (A),
54', el Meftahi Y. 🟨,
64', Meeuwsen K. 🟨,
64', 5 - 1, Hoeve Q. (Pen),
66', Oukhattou M. ↓, Bynoe J. ↑,
71', Santos A. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
71', el Meftahi Y. ↓, Razak K. ↑,
72', Sint V. 🟨,
75', Brobbey S. ↓, Dumay Q. ↑,
78', Hoeve Q. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
87', 5 - 2, Dilrosun T. ⚽, Maguire B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 1.
Jong Sparta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GVVV has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
GVVV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
GVVV could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 2.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
Watch
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Suur R. (G) 
Oukhattou M. 
Hoeve Q. 
Evora E. (G) 
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