Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Lopez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fox Sports, Tubi TV


	Juárez		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.05	1.52
	4.96	3.99	1.63
	5.86	4.49	1.46	Watch
	4.93	3.88	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↓ (5.86)	4.1 ↓ (4.49)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
17.8%

Draw
22.5%

Tigres UANL
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.7%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

19.9%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres UANL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juárez - Tigres UANL Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 15. Casarez J. A. 13. Gonzalez E. 3. Granados N. 8. Mercado L. (C) 22. Mora Bianca 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J. 10. Zuazua M.	1. Santiago A. (G) 8. Delgado A. 4. Espinoza G. (C) 32. Farmer A. 10. Hermoso J. 16. Kgatlana T. 6. Lopez J. 9. Mayor S. 12. Ordonez D. 27. Perisset E. 7. Sanchez M.
Substitutes
29. Arreola A. 17. Asantewaa G. 4. Castillo M. 7. Duarte N. 16. Espinoza G. 18. Kaci A. 5. Lopez Y. 11. Martin D. 33. Morales K. (G) 23. Solis B.	43. Antonio A. 2. Colin N. 18. Cruz B. 5. Elizondo M. 15. Ferral C. 19. Flores T. 23. Gonzalez I. (G) 31. Gonzalez M. 26. Hernandez A. 21. Olivieri B.
Coaches
Fernandez Novillo O.	Martinez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Mayor S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.

In recent matches, Juárez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigres is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Tigres is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
31.10.25	Juárez - Querétaro	4:0 ✺
16.10.25	UNAM - Juárez	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Juárez - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Santos Laguna - Juárez	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Club America - Juárez	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWTL
- Tigres UANL Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
01.11.25	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tigres UANL - Atlético San Luis	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	Club America - Tigres UANL	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Puebla - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
26.09.25	Tigres UANL - Club León	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
19.09.25	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:0
30.03.25	Tigres UANL - Juárez	0:0
20.10.24	Juárez - Tigres UANL	3:1
13.05.24	Tigres UANL - Juárez	1:1
10.05.24	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:1
25.04.24	Tigres UANL - Juárez	1:0
21.07.23	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:4

Juárez - Tigres UANL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide