Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV


	Santos Laguna		Juárez

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.05	1.5
	5.45	4.32	1.54
	5.26	3.74	1.62	Watch
	5.32	4.1	1.5	Watch
	4.95	3.95	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↓ (6.66)	4.03 ↓ (4.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
17.7%

Draw
22.7%

Juárez
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

19.1%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

16.8%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Santos Laguna - Juárez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juárez (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes A. (G) 21. Felix Rosales J. G. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 5. Novella Y. 24. Padilla D. 4. Peraza M. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 20. Romero Torres L. M. 11. Santana M.	28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 13. Gonzalez E. 9. Lunyamila E. 8. Mercado L. (C) 22. Mora Bianca 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J. 10. Zuazua M.
Substitutes
30. Casas A. (G) 31. Cussin Franco F. C. 27. De Leon N. 64. Hernandez B. 6. Ibarra H. 17. Martinez M. 51. Melendez J. 58. Ramirez R. 25. Ruiz M. 15. Vazquez A.	29. Arreola A. 4. Castillo M. 25. Diallo H. 7. Duarte N. 24. Duron D. 16. Espinoza G. 62. Garcia J. 11. Martin D. 33. Morales K. (G)
Coaches
Lazcano J.	Fernandez Novillo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hernandez Ponce A. G. 🟨,
45', Lunyamila E. 🟨,
45+4', Reyes A. 🟨,
45+6', Peraza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Lunyamila E. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
64', Zuazua M. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
73', Padilla D. 🟨,
75', Zuazua M. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
75', Asantewaa G. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
75', Abud K. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Duron D. ↑,
85', Felix Rosales J. G. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Santos Laguna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juárez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juárez is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
29.09.25	Santos Laguna - Puebla	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Club León - Santos Laguna	5:0 ✺
15.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlas	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	1:1 ✺
04.09.25	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL
- FC Juárez Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
26.09.25	Club America - Juárez	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cruz Azul - Juárez	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Monterrey - Juárez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
27.01.25	Santos Laguna - Juárez	1:2
03.08.24	Juárez - Santos Laguna	3:1
25.01.24	Juárez - Santos Laguna	5:1
16.10.23	Santos Laguna - Juárez	0:4
17.04.23	Santos Laguna - Juárez	3:2
19.09.22	Juárez - Santos Laguna	4:1
25.04.22	Santos Laguna - Juárez	3:1

Santos Laguna - Juárez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide