Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Juan Aurich		Alfonso Ugarte de Puno

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	3.9
	1.7	3.61	3.63
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.7	3.9	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.55	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	3.76 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
51.4%

Draw
24.6%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Aurich's performance.

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Aurich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.2%	8.5%	4.3%

Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Aurich will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quiroz R. (G) 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 29. Guevara A. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 2. Pacheco O. 13. Reyes O. 14. Salas V. 21. Salcedo J.	23. Castellanos G. (C) 28. Cotrina J. 11. Cuero J. 30. Gutierrez A. 8. Lara F. 20. Paye E. 10. Quiroz A. 5. Safra J. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. 13. Vernal G.
Substitutes
3. Butron F. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 30. Rodriguez C. 15. Sandoval M. 28. Silva M. 31. Stein A. (G)	59. Ayovi W. 25. Caceres R. 16. Davila C. 96. Lopez E. 77. Palomino K. 19. Timana H.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Juan Aurich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Juan Aurich will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Aurich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
18.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Juan Aurich - Carlos Stein	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTLW
- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
20.06.23	Ayacucho - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:2 ✺
14.06.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Carlos Stein	5:1 ✺
08.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	3:0 ✺
24.05.23	Unión Huaral - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.09.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Juan Aurich	4:0
19.06.22	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:3

Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno