Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Adauto Moraes (Juazeiro)


	Juazeirense		União Carmolandense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.91	3.15	3.85
	1.79	3.29	4.48
	1.94	3.22	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.36	3.82
	1.91	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	3.25 (3.25)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juazeirense
49%

Draw
28.2%

União Carmolandense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

29.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juazeirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Juazeirense - União Carmolandense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vicente ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juazeirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juazeirense is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Serie D
11.05.25	Jequié - Juazeirense	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sergipe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Juazeirense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Ceará - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTLL
- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Jequié - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	União Carmolandense - Penedense	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Lagarto - União Carmolandense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
05.04.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLW

Juazeirense - União Carmolandense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide