Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Romelio Martinez (Barranquilla)


	Junior Barranquilla		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.15	1.39
	6.61	4.17	1.43
	6.7	4.02	1.44	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.4
	7.25	4.25	1.37	Watch
	5.3	3.55	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (5.3)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
13.9%

Draw
22.5%

Independiente Santa Fe
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

24.2%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

23.3%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes L. (G) 16. Carrasquilla D. 23. Martinez F. 5. Moreno Y. 13. Vega E. 20. Sanchez Y. 10. Navarro L. 14. Rodriguez D. 7. Baldovino M. 25. Castano L. 18. Julio D.	1. Martinez W. (G) 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 2. Carvajal M. 3. Motta C. 24. Marcano T. 7. Zamorano M. 16. Hernandez K. 17. Garavito D. 19. Huertas G. 11. Silva M.
Substitutes
22. Garnica L. (G) 19. Gomez N. 6. Herrera R. 21. Martinez T. 17. Mosquera Y. 3. Orozco Y. 4. Paez M. 9. Ruiz J. 11. Santos E.	5. Baldallo M. 14. Castaneda A. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 9. Graterol F. 8. Ortegon J. 25. Posada S. 77. Rojas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Baldovino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Moreno Y. 🟨,
56', Valbuena K. ↓, Graterol F. ↑,
62', Silva M. ↓, Rojas N. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Motta C. ⚽,
76', Garavito D. 🟨,
88', Sanchez Y. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
88', Julio D. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1.

Junior is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Fe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla Women
Colombian Liga Women
01.05.26	Llaneros - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
30.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLT
- Independiente Santa Fe Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
23.05.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	6:0
26.05.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	3:2
24.04.23	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
23.04.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:0
28.11.20	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:3
24.11.20	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:3

Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide