The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 36.3%
Draw 33.7%
Millonarios 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.9%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
33.4%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez W. (G) 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 33. Tovar L. 3. Motta C. 5. Baldallo M. 16. Hernandez K. 7. Zamorano M. 20. Orozco N. 17. Garavito D. 24. Marcano T.
22. Rodriguez J. (G) 13. Leal M. 26. Benavides M. 14. Carabali E. 17. Tamayo L. 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 11. Salazar L. (C) 4. Bolano L. 79. Restrepo K. 16. Gomez L. 7. Celis D.
Substitutes
23. Cabrera M. 35. Castaneda A. 13. de la Cruz I. 22. Diaz M. (G) 9. Graterol F. 19. Huertas G. 25. Posada S. 31. Valencia S.
15. Calvo L. 12. Gamboa D. (G) 99. Garrido E. 6. Herrera M. 9. Sanchez I. 27. Valencia K. 23. Vera S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Hernandez K. ⚽, Zamorano M. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Restrepo K. ⚽, Leal M. (A),
21', 1 - 2, Gomez L. ⚽, Benavides M. (A),
33', 2 - 2, Perez A. ⚽, Zamorano M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez K. ↓, Huertas G. ↑,
64', Orozco N. 🟨,
67', Orozco N. ↓, Graterol F. ↑,
72', Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ↓, Calvo L. ↑,
73', Leal M. 🟨,
78', Baldallo M. ↓, de la Cruz I. ↑,
86', Gomez L. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
88', de la Cruz I. 🟨,
89', Bolano L. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.
In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Millonarios is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Watch
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Martinez W. (G) 
Baldallo M. 
Benavides M. 
Castaneda A. 
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